On behalf of the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board, Synapse reviewed the demand-side management plan filed by EfficiencyOne for 2016-2018. Tim Woolf submitted direct testimony to the Board on the appropriateness of the budget and savings levels, addressing affordability, cost-effectiveness screening, and bill impact analyses. Mr. Woolf’s testimony finds that EfficiencyOne’s plan is cost-effective and affordable, and could be expanded to reach higher energy savings levels without resulting in large or undue short-term rate increases.
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Synapse, through its subcontractor John Rosenkranz, analyzed and reviewed Elizabethtown Gas’s petition to the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities for the review of its Period Basic Gas Supply Service Rate.
A key benefit of renewable energy is that electricity generated from new renewable resources displaces electricity generated from other types of power plants. In doing so, renewables reduce the consumption of fossil fuel and production of fossil fuel-related carbon dioxide emissions. In the Clean Power Plan originally proposed by EPA in June 2014, this effect was ignored when setting emissions targets for states: EPA’s formula omitted this effect. In the final version of the rule, released August 3, states’ targets do account for emissions displaced by renewable generation.
As part of our ongoing series of webinars on EPA’s Clean Power Plan, Synapse hosted a webinar on how displacement occurs within the electric power system, and what this means for final targets set by EPA as well as states’ compliance with the rule. Panelists included authors of the Synapse report Air Emissions Displacement by Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, a survey of evidence that renewable resources and energy efficiency have indeed displaced fossil fuel resources connected to the grid.
Synapse reviewed the incorporation of end-use components into the Nova Scotia load forecasting modeling.
Synapse CEO and founder Bruce Biewald presented on energy efficiency as a resource for compliance with EPA’s Clean Power Plan at the 2015 NASEO Energy Policy Outlook Conference in Washington, DC on February 5. His presentation, part of a panel on privately delivered energy efficiency, included a discussion of how analysis using Synapse’s Clean Power Plan Planning Tool can help to understand and estimate the benefits of energy efficiency as an element of state CPP compliance plans.
Energy efficiency is widely recognized as an abundant and low-cost option for complying with the requirements of EPA’s Clean Power Plan. Whether states choose a mass-based or a rate-based approach to compliance, energy efficiency should be the primary strategy for complying with the Clean Power Plan. However, not all electric customers have equal access to customer-funded efficiency programs. Concerns about fairness between customers—those who participate in programs and see greater benefits than those who do not—create a barrier to widespread implementation of energy efficiency programs.
Synapse developed a handbook that outlines ten strategies to mitigate concerns about fairness between customers. The handbook—a resource for state legislators, public utility commissions, local governments, program administrators, and other stakeholders—discusses each strategy in detail, including how it promotes fairness, its potential to save more energy, the actions states must take to put the strategy in place, and examples of entities that have already implemented these strategies.
Synapse also released an accompanying factsheet that discusses the key concepts driving these strategies and describes how states can leverage the Clean Power Plan to generate additional funds for energy efficiency programs.
Energy Efficiency and the Clean Power Plan (factsheet)
Energy Efficiency and the Clean Power Plan (December 15 webinar slides)
To assist Prince Edward Island Regulatory & Appeals Commission in reviewing Maritime Electric's five-year plan, Commission staff sought independent advice on various demand-side management program issues. For the Commission staff, Synapse prepared a comprehensive, best practice report that details key principles of various energy efficiency program and policy requirements, as well as key principles of rate design for encouraging energy efficiency and conservation. This report also provides examples from other jurisdictions and recommendations for how PEI should move forward. Specific topics included in this report are: (1) program planning and review processes, (2) program design, (3) cost-effectiveness screening, (4) multi-year planning and savings targets, (5) cost recovery, (6) shareholder incentives, (7) stakeholder input, (8) evaluation, measurement, and verification, and (9) electricity tariffs to encourage energy efficiency and conservation.
In Massachusetts, municipal light departments have historically had minimal requirements to implement energy efficiency programs in their towns, and only a few offer more than is required by the state commission. As a subcontractor to Galligan Energy Consulting, Synapse assisted in the development of a high-level, statewide efficiency plan that the municipal entities could further develop and implement, including suggested programs, costs, benefits, and rate impacts.
Tim Woolf presented "Energy Efficiency Valuation: Boogie Men, Time Warped, and Other Terrifying Pitfalls" at the ACEEE Conference on Energy Efficiency as a Resource in Little Rock, Arkansas on September 22, 2015.
As a subcontractor for Eastern Research Group, Synapse provided the EPA with technical assistance to update the 2006 Clean Energy-Environment Guide to Action. The guide provides in-depth information about clean energy programs and policies that states use to meet their energy, environmental, and economic objectives. Synapse provided updated research on electricity resource planning and procurement. The 2015 edition is available here.
In January 2015, EUCI hosted "Net Metering 2.0 and Utility Solar Rates," a conference with the goal of exploring rate structures that facilitate meeting solar development goals for consumer adoption, while striking an optimum balance among all solar development stakeholders. Synapse's Joseph Daniel presented on balancing policies to protect consumers in a session focused on integrating solar into the grid without losing assets.
Synapse’s Jeremy Fisher, Patrick Luckow, and Joseph Daniel presented at the 18th Annual Energy, Utility & Environment Conference & Expo (EUEC2015), held February 16 - 18, 2015 in San Diego, California. In the session dedicated to compliance strategies for air policies and regulations, Dr. Fisher presented “EPA’s AVERT: Avoiding Emissions from the Electric Sector through Efficiency and Renewable Energy” with EPA's Robyn DeYoung. Mr. Luckow presented “CO2 Price Forecasting: Planning for Future Environmental Regulations” in the energy policy and finance session. Mr. Daniel presented on "Implementing Net Metering to Meet Policy Objectives" in a session focused on distributed generation.
CO2 Price Forecasting: Planning for Future Environmental Regulations
Implementing Net Metering to Meet Policy Objectives
Synapse helped the Maryland Office of Peoples Counsel evaluate five categories of metrics for smart grid initiatives proposed by BG&E and PEPCO: reductions in energy prices, avoided capacity costs and reductions in capacity prices as a result of reductions in energy use enabled by smart grid initiatives such as peak time rebates (PTR), and reports to customers on their energy usage, and Conservation Voltage Reduction.
Sierra Club retained Synapse to evaluate Kansas City Power & Light’s economic justification for environmental retrofits at the La Cygne Generating Station, for which KCP&L is requesting capital recovery in a case before the Missouri Public Service Commission. The retrofits for La Cygne, which is on the Kansas/Missouri border, were pre-approved by the Kansas Corporation Commission in 2011. After reviewing KCP&L’s original application, modeling files and associated work papers, the monthly status reports on the La Cygne environmental retrofits, and other materials, Synapse found that the original analysis of the retrofits was imprudent and that market conditions have changes significantly in the electric sector in 2011 and 2012, warranting a reevaluation of that analysis.
Surrebuttal Testimony of Rachel Wilson on the Prudence of Environmental Retrofits at KCP&L La Cygne Generating Station
Synapse assisted Sierra Club with its involvement in TVA’s 2015 IRP development process by reviewing and providing comments on TVA IRP materials, and conducting background research and analyses. Synapse provided background research and analyses on the following issues: (a) energy efficiency program potential and assumptions; (b) energy efficiency resource screening methods; (c) public benefits of energy efficiency, including job impacts; (d) IRP best practices, (e) TVA’s scorecard methods, including renewable energy dispatchability and weighting issues with scorecard metrics; and (f) the economic merits of coal power plant retirements. Further, Synapse developed a report on the draft 2015 IRP based on our assessment of IRP assumptions, the draft IRP, and Synapse technical reports.
Maximizing Public Benefits through Energy Efficiency Investments
Review of TVAs Draft 2015 Integrated Resource Plan
EPA’s final Clean Power Plan differs from the version proposed last year in several non-trivial ways. In fact, the basic framework of the rule—the way in which the EPA sets states’ targets for emissions reductions and the options for meeting those targets—has changed. As part of our ongoing series of webinars on the final Clean Power Plan, Synapse presented a webinar on August 18, 2015 that drilled into the details of EPA’s new method for calculating states’ targets and the differences between the seven compliance pathways (of which there were two in the proposed rule).
On August 3, 2015, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency released the final version of its Clean Power Plan, the agency’s effort to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from power plants built before 2012. Synapse hosted a webinar two days after the final plan was released to provide a first-cut look at how the final rule differs from the rule proposed in draft form a year earlier. Panelists discussed new timelines, targets, and compliance pathways available to states; and presented a primer on the legal framework for compliance plans.
FirstEnergy’s Ohio utilities (Ohio Edison, Cleveland Electric, and Toledo Edison) filed an application before the Public Utility Commission of Ohio seeking approval of an Electric Security Plan (“ESP”) and related Retail Rate Stability Rider (“Rider RRS”). FirstEnergy claims that customers will receive benefits of over $2 billion over the length of the plan due to the Companies’ projections of revenues from capacity and energy market sales. On behalf of Sierra Club, Synapse expert witness Tyler Comings submitted testimony focusing on the assumptions and analysis used by the Companies to support the Rider RRS, and the policy implications and risks associated with the proposed transaction.
Supplemental Testimony of Tyler Comings Evaluating the Assumptions and Analysis Used by FirstEnergy Ohio in Support of its Application for Approval of an Electric Security Plan and Related Retail Rate Stability Rider
Second Supplemental Testimony of Tyler Comings Evaluating the Assumptions and Analysis Used by FirstEnergy Ohio in Support of its Application for Approval of an Electric Security Plan and Related Retail Rate Stability Rider
Third Supplemental Testimony of Tyler Comings Evaluating the Assumptions and Analysis Used by FirstEnergy Ohio in Support of its Application for Approval of an Electric Security Plan and Related Retail Rate Stability Rider
Rehearing Testimony of Tyler Comings Evaluating the Assumptions and Analysis Used by FirstEnergy Ohio in Support of its Application for Approval of an Electric Security Plan and Related Retail Rate Stability Rider
Recently, there has been a substantial increase in the number of utilities that propose to recover more of their costs through monthly fixed charges rather than through variable rates. Synapse prepared a report for Consumers Union that documents the current trend toward utilities proposing substantial increases in fixed electricity charges, describes the theoretical flaws behind fixed charges, analyzes their impact on consumers, and proposes alternatives.
Synapse and Consumers Union held a webinar on February 10, 2016 based on the report: Caught in a Fix: The Problem with Fixed Charges for Electricity.
Caught in a Fix: The Problem with Fixed Charges for Electricity
Caught in a Fix - Webinar Slides
Synapse provided consulting and strategic services to support Efficiency Maine's participation in the Forward Capacity Market.
The widely cited FUND model of climate economics estimates that climate change will have less serious impacts, and that the optimal policy is to do less, than implied by many other analyses. Synapse's Frank Ackerman together with subcontractor Charles Munitz explored the FUND model, testing combinations of inputs that may illuminate the sources of FUND's distinct forecasts.
Southern Environmental Law Center retained Synapse to review Dominion Virginia Power’s application for a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for its proposed Greensville County Power Station, a new natural gas combined-cycle plant. Synapse’s analysis found that the Company’s need analysis overstated its electric load and did not give appropriate consideration to alternative resource choices. On behalf of environmental respondents, Rachel Wilson submitted testimony to the Virginia State Corporation Commission demonstrating that Dominion overstated the need for the Greensville NGCC and recommending that the Commission deny the Company’s petition for a CPCN and an associated rate increase.
Synapse assisted the State of Maine Office of the Public Advocate in reviewing a petition filed by GridSolar. The petition has three key proposals: 1) the Smart Grid Coordinator should provide nine services that fall into two broad groups (NTA-related services and Customer-facing services), 2) the Smart Grid Coordinator should be established as a single, state-wide regulated utility, and 3) GridSolar should be selected as that Smart Grid Coordinator. Synapse developed testimony that addressed whether it is in the public interest to have a single, state-wide, third-party Smart Grid Coordinator established as a regulated utility and whether it is in the best interest of the public to select GridSolar to be that Smart Grid Coordinator.
Synapse was retained by Sierra Club to review Indianapolis Power & Light Company’s (IPL) 2014 IRP, provide comments and feedback to IPL throughout the stakeholder process, attend stakeholder meetings, and review the final IRP.
Synapse’s comments address the scenario structure and resource choice methodology used in the IRP. Synapse found that IPL developed arbitrary futures for its fleet that provide little insight into the true economics of each of its generating units, as the company failed to analyze the units on an individual basis. The comments also identify issues with IPL’s scenario input assumptions and its treatment of demand-side management resources.
Synapse worked with the Regulatory Assistance Project to draft integrated resource planning rules on behalf of the Puerto Rico Public Service Commission.
Synapse worked with REMI to conduct a national analysis of a fee-and-dividend carbon policy. Synapse used the ReEDS model at the state level in order to assist REMI in a macroeconomic analysis of the impacts of such a policy. Synapse defined modeling scenarios and assumptions with input from REMI; performed five model runs; and provided generation, capacity, and emissions outputs that were used as inputs to the REMI model.
On behalf of the Mountain Association for Community Economic Development (MACED), Synapse performed an analysis of the long-standing problem of disappearing coal jobs in eastern Kentucky. We then examined options for alternative employment based on six possible growth industries identified by MACED: energy efficiency, local food production, health care, sustainable forestry and wood products, tourism, and environmental remediation. Synapse developed scenarios for growth, based on the regional potential for expansion and the estimated costs and potential of each industry. We completed the technical analysis using IMPLAN, a well-known economic impact model. Specifically, we modeled a scenario that creates enough new jobs in these growth areas by 2030 to replace half of the remaining coal jobs and also bring the region’s unemployment levels down to the national average. The project received generous support from the Environment, Economics, and Society Institute (EESI).
Sierra Club retained Synapse to evaluate Kansas City Power & Light's application before the Missouri Public Service Commission to nearly triple customers’ fixed charge from $9 to $25 per month. Synapse conducted analysis and provided expert testimony regarding the impacts of the Company's proposed rate design on efficient price signals, customer equity, and investments in distributed energy resources. Ultimately the Commission rejected the Company’s proposal, approving a new fixed charge of only $11.88.
Surrebuttal Testimony of Tim Woolf on the Topic of Kansas City Power & Light Company Rate Design Proposal
Synapse worked with Meister Consulting Group to analyze the Clean Energy Plan of Lincoln Electric System (LES), the customer-owner municipal utility for the city of Lincoln, Nebraska, on behalf of Sierra Club. Historically, LES has generated about 85 percent of its electricity from coal-fired power plants. Synapse and Meister used LES’s Clean Energy Plan to develop a set of scenarios examining the bulk power costs (including costs of complying with upcoming environmental regulations) and monthly bill impacts of LES maintaining its coal-focused status quo. The project team also examined alternatives in which LES pursues expanded renewable energy PPAs.
The Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources (DOER) retained Synapse to conduct a low demand modeling analysis. The purpose of the modeling analysis was to consider various gas demand scenarios and to evaluate a range of solutions to meet Massachusetts’ short- and long-term resource needs, considering greenhouse gas reductions, economic costs and benefits, and system reliability.
New England’s energy infrastructure has become increasingly stressed due to various market conditions, leading to near-term supply inadequacy and cost impacts, especially during winter months. DOER sought to compare a range of energy solutions considering greenhouse gas reductions, economic cost and benefits, and system reliability to meet Massachusetts’ short- and long-term energy needs. As such, DOER retained Synapse to evaluate varying solutions for meeting Massachusetts’ energy needs while striking a balance between reliability, cost, and the environment.
As part of the modeling analysis process, Synapse and DOER solicited stakeholder input and feedback at several key junctures. Raab Associates, Ltd. worked with Synapse and took the lead on the stakeholder engagement process. All materials from stakeholder meetings—including notes, slides, and agendas—are made available on this page.
October 15 Stakeholder Meeting Slides
October 15 Stakeholder Summary Notes
October 15 Stakeholder Comments
October 30 Stakeholder Meeting Agenda
October 30 Stakeholder Meeting Slides
Feasibility Study for Low Gas Demand Analysis
October 30 Stakeholder Summary Notes
October 30 Stakeholder Comments
December 18 Stakeholder Meeting Agenda
December 18 Stakeholder Meeting Slides - Updated December 19
December 18 Stakeholder Meeting Slides - Updated January 7
Analysis Workbook: Gas Model (Excel) (updated January 7)
Analysis Workbook: Supply Curve - High Gas (Excel) (updated January 7)
Analysis Workbook: Supply Curve - Low Gas (Excel) (updated January 7)
Analysis Workbook: Supply Curve - Ref Gas (Excel) (updated January 7)
December 18 Stakeholder Comments
December 18 Stakeholder Summary Notes
Massachusetts Low Demand Final Report
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