Patrick Knight performs consulting, conducts research, and assists in writing testimony and reports for Synapse. Much of his work focuses on analysis and modeling of U.S. coal unit economics and resources to displace coal units’ capacity, generation, and emissions. He also plays a lead role in projects assisting New England energy efficiency program administrators participate in the Forward Capacity Market, and analyzes the performance of energy efficiency plans and programs.
Mr. Knight’s recent work at Synapse includes leading the construction of an energy efficiency costing tool for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to support the EPA’s development of the draft 111(d) rule for limiting carbon dioxide emissions from existing power plants; and building and maintaining Synapse’s Coal Asset Valuation Tool (CAVT), a spreadsheet-based database and model that forecasts the costs for individual coal units to comply with environmental regulations, and compares these forecasts to electricity market prices. CAVT is used in several Synapse analyses to identify and investigate coal units at risk for retirement, including two recent studies led by Mr. Knight for the Energy Foundation: Displacing Coal: An Analysis of Natural Gas Potential in the 2012 Electric System Dispatch (August 2013), and Forecasting Coal Unit Competitiveness: Coal Retirement Assessment Using Synapse’s Coal Asset Valuation Tool (October 2013).
Mr. Knight also developed the pricing model used in a 2012 Synapse study of the potential rate effects of transmission and wind build-out scenarios in MISO, and was one of the lead developers of AVERT (the Avoided Emissions and Generation Tool), a statistical dispatch model built for the U.S. EPA that projects the hourly changes in generation and air emissions at individual generating units resulting from the introduction of new energy efficiency or renewable energy resources in a specific region. After rigorous peer review and beta testing, AVERT was released to the public in February 2014.
Prior to joining Synapse in 2010, Mr. Knight worked for New Ecology, Inc., where he helped develop a utility tracking and management software program. He holds a bachelor of science in geophysics from Boston College and a master’s degree in urban and environmental planning and policy from Tufts University.
Selected Recent Publications
Synapse Energy Economics for Delaware Riverkeeper Network, 2016
Authors: Liz Stanton PhD, Patrick Knight, Patrick Luckow, Avi Allison, Tommy Vitolo PhD
Synapse Energy Economics, 2016
Authors: Patrick Knight, Liz Stanton PhD
Synapse Energy Economics for the National Association of State Utility Consumer Advocates, July 2015
Authors: Patrick Knight, Spencer Fields, Sarah Jackson, Wendy Ong, Nidhi R. Santen, Bruce Biewald, Elizabeth A. Stanton